Pink salmon forecast anticipates middling run


December 29, 2016

Next year’s pink salmon

harvest forecast for Southeast Alaska is anticipating a run

statistically on the stronger side, though the numbers

may not be particularly optimistic for fishermen still reeling from a disappointing 2016 run.

The 2017 report predicts the coming run will fall within in the “strong” range, with a point estimate of 43 million fish and an 80-percent confidence interval.

To produce the

forecast, researchers adjusted past harvest trends using peak June-July juvenile pink salmon abundance data from 2016. Using exponential smoothing, all harvests since 1960 were fa...

For access to this article please sign in or subscribe.


Reader Comments


Powered by ROAR Online Publication Software from Lions Light Corporation
© Copyright 2019

Rendered 04/12/2019 05:20